Find growth in emerging markets

Outlook 2025Find growth in emerging markets

Political and central bank policy uncertainty dominated headlines in 2024, leading many investors to underweight emerging markets relative to US equities. While some headwinds remain, emerging markets typically have high long-term economic growth rates owing to factors like industrialization, urbanization, and a growing middle class. Many emerging markets also have younger populations with rising incomes, which can drive consumption and economic growth.

On top of providing an attractive growth opportunity, emerging market stocks are inexpensive relative to their US and other developed market counterparts. As such, today may be an opportune time for investors to consider allocating – or increasing allocations – to emerging markets equities.

Accessing earnings growth at attractive valuations

Emerging markets are projected to experience earnings growth in line with developed markets over the next three to five years, but emerging markets equities are trading at lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, indicating they may offer better value. This suggests the market may not fully recognize the potential for long-term growth in emerging markets, signaling a potentially attractive entry point for investors today.

Emerging markets valuations appear favorable vs. developed markets

Emerging markets theme supporting chart

Source: FactSet. September 30, 2024. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Earnings per share (EPS) is a measure of a company's profitability that indicates how much profit each outstanding share of common stock has earned. Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is a valuation ratio of a company’s current share price compared to its earnings per share. Emerging markets equities are represented by the MSCI Emerging Markets Index; developed markets equities by the MSCI EAFE Index; US equities by the S&P 500 Index.

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The MSCI Emerging Markets Index represents large- and mid-cap stocks across emerging market countries worldwide. The index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country.

The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia, Far East) Index represents large- and mid-cap stocks across 21 developed markets, excluding the US and Canada. The index covers approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in each country.

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