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Managing Director, Economist – Ivy Equity Boutique
Derek is an Economist for Macquarie Asset Management (MAM), where he focuses on the Ivy Equity Boutique. He brings important insights and thought leadership to the firm’s investment professionals.
He joined Ivy Investments as an Economic Analyst. He became an International Analyst in 2000, specializing in foreign currencies and international economics. He was appointed International Economist in 2007 and was appointed Global Economist in 2010, before assuming his current role in 2021.
Derek earned a Bachelor of Arts in finance and economics and a Master of Business Administration in finance and management from Rockhurst College. He is a member of the CFA Institute, CFA Society of Kansas City, and the National Association for Business Economics.
By Derek Hamilton
February 20, 2024
Our last two insights covered the 2024 outlook for economic growth and inflation. We believe that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin reducing interest rates later this year, most likely around midyear. However, the path of interest rate reductions may depend heavily on the performance of the economy as the year progresses.
We see three possible outcomes for the Fed:
Note: Dotted lines represent forecasted values.
Sources: Macquarie, Macrobond, US Federal Reserve.
Chart is for illustrative purposes only.
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Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and, subsequently, purchasing power is falling. Central banks attempt to stop severe inflation, along with severe deflation, in an attempt to keep the excessive growth of prices to a minimum.
The federal funds rate is the target interest rate set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) at which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other overnight.
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